Proj is the simulator's number: expected minutes × the player's per-minute production (recent games count more; last season counts 40%), moved when regulars are out or back, and scaled a little by the game's total. Set a player's status (ACT / Q / OUT) and everyone on his team re-projects. Chance is what a bet is judged on: the other books' price for that line with their cut removed (rebounds lean 10% toward the simulator, never more than 3 points). EV compares that chance with the best price at your books (tagged FD / DK …). The simulator beats a plain season average on all five stats — but on last season's real prices the books beat it on every stat, so the app goes by the other books' price. An edge means "your book is out of line with the others"; betting those last season came out around break-even, so let the bet log's CLV tell you whether it works for you.